The time has almost come folks! It’s week 13. The calm before the storm. Fantasy playoffs are almost upon us (or at least with week 14 being the start of most playoffs) and this could be a MUST win week for you. All of those near losses? Put them behind you. Those weeks where you could have picked up that player and you didn’t? Forget about it. All that matters now is this week and giving your team a shot at the title. Week 12 put a lot of people in tough positions (COUGH COUGH all of you Melvin Gordon and Leonard Fournette owners) meaning your roster isn’t nearly as strong as you’d have hoped. Well, It surely won’t get any stronger if you decide to plug in one of these guys, so proceed with caution.
(QB Rank: 16 | Opponent: @Hou)
Baker has silenced all the critics and has quietly put up at least 21 fantasy points in four of the last five games. The one caveat is that he has played pitiful defenses in Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Atlanta, and Cincinnati. He now faces a Houston team that has won 8 straight games and has allowed the 4th fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks at 17.3 PPG. It’s worth noting as well that Baker has been extremely efficient as of late on limited pass attempts. In his last two games he has gone 17/20 with 3 touchdowns and 19/26 with 4 touchdowns. That’s a touchdown basically every five passes which is ridiculous. Look for Baker to come back down to earth this week.
(RB Rank: 24 | Opponent: @Jax)
Marlon Mack has cleared the concussion protocol which most likely means he’s suiting up this week against the Jags. That’s great for the Colts but not so much for your fantasy team. Yes, I know how pathetic the Jags have been recently but their defense still ranks #1 in terms of fantasy points allowed to running backs per game. Mack also has only averaged 14.3 attempts over his last three games and hasn’t caught more than 2 passes in any game this season. With the way Andrew Luck is playing, the Colts can afford to abandon the running game and still put up points.
(RB Rank: 28 | Opponent: Ind)
Now if this were any other week, Hyde wouldn’t even deserve the potential to be a bust candidate. Hyde has been irrelevant since being traded to the Jaguars but with Fournette’s recent “protection mode” scene, he’s thrust back into fantasy relevance… or so you thought. The Jaguars have been absolutely abyssal this season and now have to face a red hot Colts team. The Jags defense will do its best but I don’t think they can contain Luck which means they are most likely going to be down in this game. With T.J. Yeldon yielding most, if not all, of the pass catching duties, Hyde is going to need to be efficient and find the end zone, both of which I don’t see happening. Sure, the Jags have a new quarterback this week and what the hell, it might even be an upgrade with the way the Blake Bortles has been playing. Regardless, there is just too much going against this Jags team as a whole to trust Hyde, especially in what could be a critical week 13 match up.
(WR Rank: 25 | Opponent: @Hou)
I mentioned before how Baker was able to take advantage of the soft match ups the Browns have had but the same can not be said for Landry. He has put up less than 50 yards in four straight games and has only scored one touchdown in his last seven games. Baker has been spreading the ball out to all his weapons and doing well on limited pass attempts which is directly effecting Landry’s production. Landry is still their number one option but will most likely draw some serious attention from the Texans defense and make Baker beat them by throwing elsewhere. Not to mention, the emergence of Nick Chubb and the running game has taken the pressure off of Baker and he hasn’t had to check the ball down so I expect Landry to have another poor showing.
(WR Rank: 32 | Opponent: Bal)
Ridley has been somewhat of a volatile player this year having huge games and also some real stinkers. Here’s a fun fact for ya: Did you know that every game Ridley has scored a touchdown in he averages 5.8 receptions and 85.6 yards and in games that he doesn’t score he averages 3.6 catches and 39.4 yards? Well if you did good for you. The Ravens defense has been elite this year against wide receivers allowing the fewest fantasy points per game as well as only allowing nine total top-30 receiving performances all season. Ridley will most likely be matched up with Marlon Humphrey, who has been the Ravens best corner on the season so I am projected a sub par week from the Alabama standout. Want to hear another fun fact? Probably not haha. Marlon Humphrey and Calvin Ridley played together at Alabama so they definitely know each others game and have definitely faced off a time or two on the field before. I’m betting on Humphrey and the Ravens to get the better of him this week.