The 2018 NFL season is now a quarter of the way done and so far, we’ve seen astronomically high scoring. Through 4 weeks, there have been 228 passing touchdowns thrown which shattered the previous record of 205 set back in 2013. More touchdowns mean more fantasy points for some of mine and your favorite players but you may want to temper your expectations if you have any of these guys in your lineup this week.
(All Rankings/Projections will be based off of ESPN PRR format scoring)
(QB Rank: 16 | Opponent: LAR)
It’s no secret that Russell Wilson (and the Seahawks offense as a whole) has been a disappointment this season. He hasn’t thrown for over 300 yards yet and now faces a loaded Rams defense that allows the sixth least fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Wilson’s ability to run and make plays outside the pocket is what has kept him fantasy relevant in tough matchups but for some reason, the Seahawks just aren’t utilizing him in that way as he’s only rushed 11 times for 42 yards. The incredible depth at quarterback this season should provide owners with a couple of decent options this week as Wilson should be in a for a long day even at home.
(RB Rank: 19 | Opponent: DAL)
Even though the Texans have begun to hit their stride on offense, Miller has still been putting up average to below average numbers. He nor Alfred Blue have been super effective this season and they now face a Dallas defense that is surprisingly good against the run (12th in the league). Dallas’s slow pace of play never benefits an offense that is looking to put up a lot of points and to make matters worse, Miller was banged up against the Colts and sat out the entire fourth quarter and overtime. The reality behind Lamar Miller is that he has a very low ceiling and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him deliver a poor performance Sunday night.
(RB Rank: 15 | Opponent: @BAL)
Hyde makes this week’s article for a couple of different reasons with the biggest being the matchup. Although he has over 20 rush attempts in three out of four games so far, the Ravens are second in total defense so far this season and fourth against the run. The odd stat line of 3 rushes for 105 yards and two touchdowns for Chubb should allow for him to see some more carries which will cut into Hyde’s workload. It’s also important to remember that Duke Johnson Jr. is a big part of their offense when it comes to passing situations so if the Browns get behind against a Ravens team that is hitting on all cylinders right now, Johnson Jr. will be the Browns back in the ballgame. Add that all up and you have the recipe for an underwhelming day out of Hyde.
(WR Rank: 32 | Opponent: DEN)
Enunwa has been Sam Darnold’s go-to target so far this year compiling over 8 targets, 4 catches and 57 yards in each game this year but now faces one of his toughest tests against Denver. Although Denver’s defense hasn’t been as good as its been in years past, it still has the best slot corner in the game in Chris Harris Jr. Enunwa, who primarily plays out of the slot, will most likely be shadowed throughout the game which should lead to Darnold looking for other options. I’d shy away from Enunwa this week if you were thinking about starting him in what should be a low scoring game.
(TE Rank: 7 | Opponent: @Phi)
With either a touchdown or 5 catches and 48 yards in each game so far, Rudolph has been exactly what you’d expect – a consistent part of your team who will get you around 10-15 points each week. I expect that to change in week 5 when the Vikings go up against a Philadelphia team that has been giving up less than 34 yards to tight ends in three out of four games this year and ranks seventh best against the position. Playing in Philadelphia has been one of the hardest places to play since Wentz entered the league as they are 10-1 in that time span with their only loss coming in week 17 against the Cowboys in a meaningless game. The Vikings may put up some points, but it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Rudolph have a down week, especially since they still have Diggs and Theilen.