Hello everyone and welcome to my DFS likes of the week. I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving and enjoyed the 3-game slate we had on Thursday as much as they could. The bye weeks are finally gone, so we have a ton of players to choose from for DFS this week. Let’s get this started.
Marcus Mariota- DraftKings– $6,300. FanDuel– $7,800
You’re taking the Russell Wilsons of the world against the 49ers, Cam and Brady will be popular picks as well with the matchup’s they have lined up. But I like Marcus Mariota a lot this week. He has an amazing matchup against the division rival Colts. Despite having a horrid defense, the Demarco Murray struggles and an unhealthy Mariota for most of the year; the Titans are holding onto the top wild-card spot. They need this game this week and I’m not going into too many stats on why I believe Mariota is a GREAT DFS play this week. He’s finally healthy and despite last weeks horrid performance against the Steelers, he still finished with 21.74 DFS points because of his running ability. The Colts are giving up 20 points per game to the position. A healthy Mariota and a healthy WR core, the Titans will put in work this week.
Andy Dalton– I’m cringing as I’m writing this but I have a job to do and that is to give you good advice on DFS plays. As much as most of the football world doesn’t believe Andy Dalton is a good QB, we need to face facts. The Browns aren’t good and at the ending of the day, Dalton is a competent QB. Last time these teams faced off in week 4, Dalton finished with 29.34 DFS points. Pretty good for a bottom one-third DFS priced QB if you ask me.
Bust of the Week:
Matt Moore– He looked good in relief of Jay Cutler last week; and yes the Patriots are ranked the 2nd worse defense against QBs for fantasy purposes this season. But the Patriots haven’t allowed more than 17 points in the last SIX weeks and that includes games against explosive offenses like the Chargers and Falcons. It’s an appealing matchup, but I’d stay from most of Miami’s offensive players this week. I’d only play Stills or Landry this week based off volume.
J.D. McKissic- DraftKings– $3,700. FanDuel– $5,500.
J.D. McKissic is the stand alone RB in a backfield that is desperately looking for some sort of production. McKissic was the main ball carrier last week for the Seahawks and he has also been the pass catching back. In the last two weeks, he has received 11 targets and converted those into 9 receptions for 43 yards. He also has 12 carries for 56 yards on the ground for a 4.66 yards per rush average. J.D. should see his touches increased to around 15 maybe even 20 for week 12 against a 49ers defense that has allowed the most points to RB’s all season. He’s my gut feeling player of the week.
Kareem Hunt- I’m staying in the flames and I don’t blame you if you jumped ship. But the Bills are allowing 23 points per game to the position and Kareem Hunt is a good RB despite hitting a rookie wall. His FanDuel price is absolutely amazing this week. Andy Reid needs to wake up and feed the kid 20 plus touches.
Julio Jones– DraftKings– $7,700. FanDuel– $7,800.
Mohamed Sanu– DraftKings– $5,400. FanDuel– $5,800
Let’s be clear, there’s no way I am advertising to take both WR’s in the same tilt this week. But both are extremely strong favorites to have amazing games ESPECIALLY off price. Despite the early offensive struggles for the whole ATL offense, in the last 4 weeks, they scored a total of 103 points for an average of 25.75 points per game. They’ve found their offensive stroke and it isn’t going to slow down week 12 against a TB defense that allows 27 fantasy points per game to the WR position. Sanu has 3 touchdowns since returning from injury 5 games ago. Julio has 49 targets in his last 5 games and has converted those targets into 29 receptions. The catch rate hasn’t been impressive, but the targets are still something to be positive about.
Jared Cook– DraftKings– $4,600. FanDuel– $5,500.
The Denver Broncos are giving up the 2nd most points to the Tight End position this season and Cook has been receiving a massive amount of targets the past 4 weeks. In the past 4 weeks, he has 26 targets for 20 receptions and 326 yards; including 2 games with over 100. The Broncos, despite the recent struggles, still have two great outside CB’s that will make it difficult to get Cooper and Crabtree the ball. Jared Cook will get plenty of opportunities this week and should finally score a touchdown since his first one back in week 3.
Ravens– The Baltimore Ravens rank near the top 3 in yards allowed on the ground and through the air as well as passing/rushing touchdowns allowed this season. The defensive side of the ball makes up for the horrible offense they have. They lead the league with 16 interceptions and Savage, starting QB for the Texans, has thrown 3 in the past 3 games. The Ravens defense is also averaging 17.25 fantasy points per game at home this season including two games with 20 or more points. Fire them up!