NFL DFS WEEK 11

Justin Polizzi
@ezpolizzi_21

Hello everyone and welcome to my DFS likes of the week. This week we have a lot of QB/WR/TE stacks to take advantage of and I’ll provide one. Let’s get this started.

Quarterback:

Derek CarrDraftKings– $6,400. FanDuel– $8,000

An Oakland player as a DFS play isn’t something you see very often but this week, a Carr and WR stack week is in play. Derek Carr has had somewhat of a disappointing season, especially fantasy production wise. He came into the season as a late round, possibly QB1 and he’s been far from that. But at home, Carr has been a beast. Aside from the week 6 outlier, Carr has two outstanding performances at home. Against two competent defense in KC and the Jets, Carr combined to complete 52 of 80 (65%) for 647 yards ( 12.44 YPC) and 6 touchdowns, NO interceptions. This Sunday, Oakland gets the defense that allows the most points in fantasy to the QB position, the Patriots. In 9 games, New England allowed over 20 fantasy points 5 out of 9 games. In those 5 games, QB’s scored 22,22,22,31 and 34 points. Take Carr.

Extras:

Eli Manning–  I wrote about Eli last week and I will write about him again this week. He’s yet another QB you can stack with a pass catcher. Last week Eli finished with 273 yards and 2 touchdowns for a total of 17 fantasy points. Pretty solid for a QB who’s top weapon is a rookie TE. If you’re investing money in multiple places, Eli is a great SAFE play. He also plays at home against the defense who allows the 5th most points to QB’s.

Runningbacks:

Kareem HuntDraftKings– $8,000. FanDuel– $8,600.

Good Kareem Hunt(ing) this week. In my rankings, he’s number 1. Kansas City is going up against the New York Giants who now allow the 3rd most rushing yards a game with 133 yards per game, but have allowed the most runs of 20+ yards with 10 this season. Kareem Hunt had great early year success because of his big-play ability. This week he should see plenty of opportunities to make big plays. Take into consideration that KC will be up from the start, they’ll look to run the ball more often in the second half. Kareem Hunt will regain that RB1, no doubt, fantasy player status after this week. There have been concerns regarding Hunt’s production, especially because the KC’s offensive line hasn’t given him much room to run, but the NY Giants allow 19.44 points to the position per week for a reason.

Melvin Gordon- DraftKings– $7,600. Fanduel– $7,800

I usually don’t recommend two pricey RB’s the same week. There is usually an RB ranked outside the RB1 range who finishes inside the RB1 range, but this week I’m feeling rich. Melvin Gordon has been a HEADACHE to own this year, trust me, I have him in multiple leagues. But he is what he’s shown; someone who will get you 3 points or 30 points. Despite that, Gordon started off the year with three consecutive 13.9 games so some consistency can be sustained. I am not convinced that an undrafted rookie, although he has talent, will limit Gordon going forward. Let’s look at what the Bills have done recently; they allow the 2nd most points to the position and in the last 3 weeks, they’ve allowed an average of 36.6 points to the RB position. That is 13 more points than the 49ers who allow the most to the RB position on the season. Based on FanDuel pricing, I’d take Gordon over Hunt. DrafKings pricing is close.

Wide Receivers:

Devante ParkerDraftKings– $6,500. FanDuel– $6,200.

Parker has only played 5 full games this year, all with Cutler at QB, and boy does Cutler feed him targets. In this 5 games, Parker has 29 receptions on 44 targets.Cutler looks his way often and against a TB defense that’s allowed 25 points to the position, 4th most, Parker could be in line for 6+ receptions and a couple touchdowns. He’s incredibly cheap in FanDuel and decently priced in DraftKings. Parker will finish as a WR2 and is my gut feeling player of the week.

Extras:

Michael Crabtree: Remember that Oakland stack I was talking about earlier, here it is. Crabtree will not be lined up across overrated, yet decent, CB Malcolm Butler, opening things up for him. Crabtree has 6 touchdowns this year, all occurring at home.

Tight End:

Tyler Kroft DraftKings– $2,900. FanDuel– $5,300.

Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz and of course Gronk are the highest paid TE’s this week. Kelce has an amazing matchup against a NYG defense that allows the most points to the position per game. But Tyler Kroft is nearly three times cheaper than Kelce and has an intriguing matchup against a Denver defense who has great corners, but cant guard the TE for the life of them. They’re giving up the second most points to the position and have allowed a TD to the position in three straight weeks. Kroft is a very sneaky start and a great DFS play, let alone a weekly stream.

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